The Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Nadal fixture in the quarter-final of the 2022 Wimbledon will take place on Wednesday, 6 July 2022, starting at 10:00 a.m. GMT. The venue is All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club. Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Nadal (July 6) Wimbledon quarter-final prediction and betting tips can be found below.
Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Nadal latest odds on betting sites
Taylor Fritz is priced with the odds of 3.20 (+220 American; 11/5 Fractional) to win, which equals an approximate probability of 33%. Rafael Nadal comes with the odds of 1.40 (-250; 2/5) to win this match. The chances of his triumph are around 67%.
The latest odds for Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Nadal (July 6):
- Over 39.5 games — 1.95 (-105; 19/20)
- Under 39.5 games — 1.85 (-117; 17/20)
- Asian handicap (-2.5) sets on Nadal — 1.67 (-150; 2/3)
- Asian handicap (+2.5) sets on Fritz — 2.20 (+120; 6/5)
- Asian handicap (-4.5) games on Nadal — 2.10 (+110; 11/10)
- Asian handicap (+4.5) games on Fritz — 1.80 (-125; 4/5)
Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Nadal match preview and statistics
Taylor Fritz eliminated Jason Kubler (6-3, 6-1, 6-4) in the previous stage.
Kubler reached a 40-0 score in the first game of the first set, but his rival saved four break points and finished this game in his favor. Then Fritz won the next two games to reach a 3-0 score. In the remaining games, the tennis players were absolutely equal and did not give each other more break point opportunities.
The American tennis player shone in the second set. He converted two out of four breaks to reach a 4-0 score. Then Jason Kubler confidently won a service game, but Fritz took the remaining two to finish the set with a 6-1 score. Taylor Fritz made only one double fault and did not give his rival a break point opportunity in this set.
The tennis players started the last set equally. Fritz received his first break points in the fourth game and converted one of them, but Jason Kubler won the next return game to level the score. They were equal before the last game. Taylor Fritz reached a 40-15 score and converted the fourth match point. Kubler had four opportunities to level the score, but was not lucky to finish them successfully.
Taylor Fritz has won the first set in the last eight matches. He is priced with the odds of 2.45 (+145; 29/20) to beat Rafa in the first set.
Rafael Nadal won over Botic van de Zandschulp (6-4, 6-2, 7-6) in the most recent match.
Nadal received his first two break points in the first return game of the first set, but he did not finish them successfully. Then the tennis players did not give each other break point opportunities and were absolutely equal to a 4-5 score. In the 10th game, Rafa reached a 40-15 score and converted the second break point to win the first set.
In the first game of the second set, Botic van de Zandschulp reached a 40-30 score to receive his first break point in this match, but did not convert it. Rafael Nadal did not give his rival more chances in this set. He won the first and the fourth return games to finish the set with a 6-2 score.
In the last set, both tennis players showed their best tennis. They traded games to a 2-2 score, but then Nadal won three games in a row to reach a 5-2 score. Despite the three-game difference, Botic van de Zandschulp did not give Rafa a match point and level the score. However, the Spanish tennis player was a bit stronger in tie-breaks and finished it in his favor.
Asian handicap (-4.5) games on Nadal has played out in the last three matches with his participation. The same outcome is priced with the odds of 2.10 (+110; 11/10) in this match.
Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Nadal H2H
Taylor Fritz beat Rafael Nadal (6-3, 7-6) in the final of the 2022 ATP Indian Wells. The tennis players made three double faults each. Taylor Fritz won eight 80% of service games and 62% of service points. He received nine break points and converted four of them.
Rafa won only seven service games and two return games. He won 55% and 38% of service and return points, respectively. Nadal saved 56% of break points and converted only two out of 10 breaks.
Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Nadal predictions and betting tips
Both tennis players have shown strong performances in the 2022 Wimbledon, but they have not met strong rivals. Nadal won over Botic van de Zandschulp in the previous stage. The Dutch tennis player is in his best form, but he still is weaker than Nadal. In the last H2H fixture, Fritz looked a bit better, but Nadal’s form was worse than it is now. Taylor Fritz has a streak of eight victories, but I believe that Rafa will break it in the last match. However, the game should not be finished in three sets.
A total of under 9.5 games in the first set looks safe too. It has played out in all H2H matches and in five of the last seven matches with Taylor Fritz participating.
Betting prediction: Rafael Nadal to win & over 3.5 sets
Odds: 2.20 (+120 American; 6/5 Fractional)
Betting prediction: Under 9.5 games (1st set)
Odds: 2.65 (+165 American; 23/20 Fractional)