Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat prediction and betting tips (May 12)
It’s a win-or-go-home situation for the 76ers as they host the Heat at the Wells Fargo Center in game 6 of the 2022 NBA Eastern Conference semifinals. The Heat is a win away from the finals.
Jimmy Butler (Heat) has been the best Heat player in this series averaging 26.6 points
Jimmy Butler (Heat) has been the best Heat player in this series averaging 26.6 points

The Philadelphia 76ers lost by a big margin in game 5 playing on the road in game 5 and this puts their playoff run at stake here in game 6 making it a must-win situation for the 2nd seed 76ers. In contrast, the Heat who entered the playoffs as the number 1 seed are just a win away from the much-coveted spot in the Eastern Conference finals.

The match starts at 7:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, 12 May 2022. The game time by GMT is 11:00 p.m. on Thursday, May 12. The match venue is Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA.

Betting tips and match predictions for the Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat (May 12) game are available in this article. The latest betting odds, key stats, team news, and projected starting lineups are previewed below.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat latest odds on betting sites

The Philadelphia 76ers money line odds are priced at 1.74 (-135 American; 20/27 Fractional), while the Miami Heat money line odds are priced at 2.15 (+115; 23/20). This equals approximate probabilities of 56% against 44% respectively.


  • Over 207 points — 1.91 (-110; 10/11)
  • Under 207 points — 1.91 (-110; 10/11)


  • Philadelphia 76ers -2.0: 1.91 (-110; 10/11)
  • Miami Heat +2.0: 1.91 (-110; 10/11)

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat match preview and statistics

The 76ers lost their identity on both offense and defense, Joel Embiid aggravated his injury and he struggled to replicate his dominant form in a game where he led the team in scoring with 17 points, 5 boards and 2 assists. He wasn’t effective at cleaning the glass and he did not dominate the paint for the 76ers.

James Harden followed up with 14 points and 6 rebounds while Tobias Harris dropped 12 points.

Team statistics: 31/85 (36.5%) field goals, 9/32 (28.1%) 3 pointers, 14/15 (93.3%) free throws, 14 assists, 36 total rebounds, 8 steals, 2 blocks, 15 turnovers, 19 fouls.

Philadelphia 76ers news: Joel Embiid, Isiah Joe and Matisse Thybulle are listed as questionable for the game.

The Heat for the first time in the series dominated the 76ers and the game was literally decided on entering the 4th quarter with a 15-point lead just to extend it to 35 points by outsourcing the 76ers by 20 points in the 4th quarter. Jimmy Butler still led the team with 23 points, 9 rebounds and 6 assists.

Max Strus followed up with 19 points and 10 boards while Gabe Vincent scored 15 points.

Victor Oladipo from the bench followed with 13 points and 2 steals while Bam Adebayo added 12 points and 2 blocks.

Team statistics: 45/84 (53.6%) field goals, 13/33 (39.4%) 3 pointers, 17/23 (73.9%) free throws, 26 assists, 46 total rebounds, 4 blocks, 8 steals, 11 turnovers, 13 fouls.

Miami Heat news: Kyle Lowry is ruled out for the game while Gabe Vincent, P.J Tucker, Caleb Martin, Tyler Herro and Max Strus are listed as questionable for the game.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat H2H

The last time they met in the playoffs was in the first round of the 2018 playoffs and the 76ers won the series 4-1. The Heat leads this series 3-2.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat lineups and key players

Philadelphia 76ers projected starting lineup:

  • Point guard: James Harden
  • Shooting guard: Tyrese Maxey
  • Small forward: Danny Green
  • Power forward: Tobias Harris
  • Center: Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid is the key player to watch out for. Although he wasn’t great for the 76ers in game 5, his return to the lineup in games 3 and 4 inspired the 76ers comeback to tie the series and if they’d force a game 7 out of this series, he needs to dominate in game 6.

Miami Heat projected starting lineup:

  • Point guard: Gabe Vincent
  • Shooting guard: Max Strus
  • Small forward: Jimmy Butler
  • Power forward: P.J Tucker
  • Center: Bam Adebayo

Jimmy Butler is the key player to watch out for. He has been the best Heat player in this series averaging 26.6 points in the five games played. He’s the leader of the team and he facilitates the team’s offense, making plays even when he’s not scoring. He needs to keep his engine running to take game 6 and advance.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat predictions and betting tips

The Heat have the momentum and confidence heading to game 6 after a 120-85 beatdown of the 76ers. The Heat boasts a better squad depth and are big on points from the bench with their bench in game 5 dropping 41 points compared to the 76ers’ bench with just 27 points. The Heat also outrebounded the 76ers especially on the defensive ends, preventing the 76ers from having a shot at second-chance points. Game 5 was the only game in this series where the Heat has defeated the 76ers with Joel Embiid in the starting lineup and they might have just figured him out, considering that they won by such a huge margin.

The 76ers shot poorly from both the field 36.5% and from long range 28.1%, in contrast to the 76ers who shot 53.6% from the field and 39.4% from deep. In game 4, where the 76ers tied the game, what was glaring was that they were impressive from the 3-point line shooting 48.5% and they also went to the foul line 34 times compared to game 5 where they had only 15 free throw attempts. The 76ers will be playing at home in game 6 but unless Joel Embiid and James Harden rise up to the occasion and have a great performance, and the 76ers shoot better from long range, the Heat are poised to end the series in game 6. Predictions for this game are the Miami Heat to win and over 207 points.

Betting prediction: Miami Heat to win

Odds: 2.15 (+115 American; 23/20 Fractional)

Betting prediction: Over 207 points

Odds: 1.91 (-110 American; 10/11 Fractional)

Basketball NBA . Playoffs Round 2. Game 5
Philadelphia 76ers — Miami Heat
Not settled
Over 207 points
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